The “bullwhip effect” in the supply chain

The The “bullwhip effect” or “bullwhip effect” It is a well-known phenomenon in logistics and refers to the large imbalances that can occur between the real demand of consumers and the demand of the intermediate actors that participate in the logistics. supply chain, affecting both the stock in the metal shelves of the points of sale as well as storage in the large palletized warehouses of the distribution centers.

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The bullwhip effect begins with an increase in consumer demand for a product. The point of sale then generates a demand from its supplier that will be greater than the real demand of consumers, in order to have safety stock or to take advantage of discounts due to purchase volume. As you move up the supply chain, the demand grows again because at each level of the chain extra units will be added for their own safety stock and benefit from better prices. Supply delays will also be introduced by waiting to accumulate larger volume orders and thus reduce transport costs, which in turn will encourage demand for more safety stock. And so as you continue up the supply chain until you reach the manufacturer, which will perceive an artificially magnified increase in demand and could lead it to increase production in response to a much higher demand than the real one.

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The name “whip” given to this phenomenon is due to its similarity to a whip, where a small movement of the arm can generate a large movement at its end. Thus, a small fluctuation in consumer demand can cause much larger fluctuations in the supply chain. In 1961 and through the editorial of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Jay Forrester published his book “Industrial Dynamics” in which he coined the term “bullwhip effect” (“whip effect” in Spanish).

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One of the techniques to alleviate the consequences of the bullwhip effect is to maintain more transparent information between the different actors in the supply chain, so that links in higher positions in the chain have access to information from the points of sale. and, therefore, a knowledge of the real demand.
The optimization of predictive supply techniques would benefit from more efficient storage systems and metal racks, which allow higher levels of turnover and better use of storage space, such as live pallet racking and dynamic picking, as well as the automation of warehouses with stacker cranes and miniload.
At present, complexities such as the globalization of markets and electronic commerce must be added. Although this introduces both additional complications and new models that mitigate the bullwhip effect. For example, business models where the manufacturer itself, through online sales, directly supplies consumers, eliminating intermediate players in the supply chain and directly synchronizing real consumer demands with production levels.
Instead, more flexible return policies and Long Tail-oriented business models can make demand predictions and warehouse supply calculations more complicated.
Also, e-commerce allows access to a broader spectrum of consumers, both geographically and by profile, which leads to requiring more warehouse space compared to less store space, and fostering the need to have safety stock to deal with sales that can originate at any time. time 365 days a year, 24 hours a day.
ATOX Storage Systems, a manufacturer recognized for the high quality of its metal shelving, designs and manufactures storage solutions tailored to the needs of its customers. Choosing and adapting the most appropriate type of metal racking for each type of warehouse contributes to optimizing supply chain management, from clad-rack warehouses and pallet racking, to picking racks and space expansion solutions, such as mezzanines

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